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http://hdl.handle.net/10397/93880
Title: | Modelling the effects of the contaminated environments on tuberculosis in Jiangsu, China | Authors: | Cai, Y Zhao, S Niu, Y Peng, Z Wang, K He, D Wang, W |
Issue Date: | 7-Jan-2021 | Source: | Journal of theoretical biology, 7 Jan. 2021, v. 508, 110453 | Abstract: | Tuberculosis (TB) is still an important public health issue in Jiangsu province, China. In this study, based on the TB transmission routes and the statistical data of TB cases, we formulate a novel TB epidemic model accounting for the effects of the contaminated environments on TB transmission dynamics. The value of this study lies in two aspects. Mathematically, we define the basic reproduction number, R0, and prove that R0 can be used to govern the threshold dynamics of the model. Epidemiologically, we find that the annual average R0 is 1.13,>1 and TB in Jiangsu is an endemic disease. Therefore, in order to control the TB in Jiangsu efficiently, we must decrease the virus shedding rate or increase the recovery rates, and increase the environmental clearance rate. | Keywords: | Basic reproduction number Control Relative infectivity Uniform persistence |
Publisher: | Academic Press | Journal: | Journal of theoretical biology | EISSN: | 0022-5193 | DOI: | 10.1016/j.jtbi.2020.110453 | Rights: | © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. © 2020. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ The following publication Cai, Y., Zhao, S., Niu, Y., Peng, Z., Wang, K., He, D., & Wang, W. (2021). Modelling the effects of the contaminated environments on tuberculosis in Jiangsu, China. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 508, 110453 is available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2020.110453 |
Appears in Collections: | Journal/Magazine Article |
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He_Modelling_Effects_Contaminated.pdf | Pre-Published version | 24.23 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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