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http://hdl.handle.net/10397/87492
Title: | Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran : a modelling analysis based on overseas cases and air travel data | Authors: | Zhuang, Z Zhao, S Lin, Q Cao, P Lou, Y Yang, L He, D |
Issue Date: | 2020 | Source: | International journal of infectious diseases, 2020, v. 94, p. 29-31 | Abstract: | As of March 1, 2020, Iran had reported 987 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases, including 54 associated deaths. At least six neighboring countries (Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Afghanistan, and Pakistan) had reported imported COVID-19 cases from Iran. In this study, air travel data and the numbers of cases from Iran imported into other Middle Eastern countries were used to estimate the number of COVID-19 cases in Iran. It was estimated that the total number of cases in Iran was 16 533 (95% confidence interval: 5925–35 538) by February 25, 2020, before the UAE and other Gulf Cooperation Council countries suspended inbound and outbound flights from Iran. | Keywords: | Air travel data Ascertainment rate Coronavirus disease 2019 COVID-19 |
Publisher: | Elsevier | Journal: | International journal of infectious diseases | ISSN: | 1201-9712 | DOI: | 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.03.019 | Rights: | © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of International Society for Infectious Diseases. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) The following publication Zhuang, Z., Zhao, S., Lin, Q., Cao, P., Lou, Y., Yang, L., & He, D. (2020). Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran: A modelling analysis based on overseas cases and air travel data. International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 94, 29-31, is available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.03.019 |
Appears in Collections: | Journal/Magazine Article |
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