Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10397/43064
Title: A dynamic mathematical test of international property securities bubbles and crashes
Authors: Hui, ECM 
Zheng, X
Wang, H
Keywords: Property securities markets
Bubble
Crash
Mathematical definition
International
Issue Date: 2010
Publisher: North-Holland
Source: Physica A. Statistical mechanics and its applications, 2010, v. 389, no. 7, p. 1445-1454 How to cite?
Journal: Physica A. Statistical mechanics and its applications 
Abstract: This study investigates property securities bubbles and crashes by using a dynamic mathematical methodology developed from the previous research (Watanabe et al. 2007a, b [31,32]). The improved model is used to detect the bubble and crash periods in five international countries/cities (namely, United States, United Kingdom, Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore) from Jan, 2000 to Oct, 2008. By this model definition, we are able to detect the beginning of each bubble period even before it bursts. Meanwhile, the empirical results show that most of property securities markets experienced bubble periods between 2003 and 2007, and crashes happened in Apr 2008 triggered by the Subprime Mortgage Crisis of US. In contrast, Japan suffered the shortest bubble period and no evidence has documented the existence of crash there.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10397/43064
ISSN: 0378-4371
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2009.12.007
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