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Title: Dynamical mechanisms underlying avian influenza outbreaks
Authors: Carmeli, C
Small, M
Issue Date: 2008
Source: Proceedings of International Symposium on Nonlinear Theory and Its Applications (NOLTA'2008), Budapest, Hungary, 7-10 September, 2008, p. 317-320 How to cite?
Abstract: Using global case data for the period from25 November 2003 to 10 March 2007, we construct a timeseries of the number of outbreaks for the spread of avianinfluenza among domestic and wild birds. The correlationsof these spread patterns are reflected in a power-law scal-ing of this property. The temporal dynamic of the spreadof influenza is further investigated with a standard non-linear time series analysis tool. We suggest that the dy-namic underlying the spread of avian influenza is not low-dimensional and hence, characterized by short term unpre-dictability.
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