Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10397/34332
Title: Patterns of spread of influenza A in Canada
Authors: He, D
Dushoff, J
Eftimie, R
Earn, DJD
Keywords: Influenza
Pandemic
School term
Spatial pattern
Vaccination
Weather
Issue Date: 2013
Publisher: Royal Soc
Source: Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 2013, v. 280, no. 1770, 20131174 How to cite?
Journal: Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 
Abstract: Understanding spatial patterns of influenza transmission is important for designing control measures. We investigate spatial patterns of laboratoryconfirmed influenza A across Canada from October 1999 to August 2012. A statistical analysis (generalized linear model) of the seasonal epidemics in this time period establishes a clear spatio-temporal pattern, with influenza emerging earlier in western provinces. Early emergence is also correlated with low temperature and low absolute humidity in the autumn. For the richer data from the 2009 pandemic, a mechanistic mathematical analysis, based on a transmission model, shows that both school terms and weather had important effects on pandemic influenza transmission.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10397/34332
ISSN: 0962-8452
DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2013.1174
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