Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10397/33708
Title: The growth pattern and fuel life cycle analysis of the electricity consumption of Hong Kong
Authors: To, WM
Lai, TM
Lo, WC 
Lam, KH
Chung, WL
Keywords: Electricity consumption
Fuel life cycle analysis
Growth pattern
Pollutant emissions
Issue Date: 2012
Publisher: Pergamon Press
Source: Environmental Pollution, 2012, v. 165, p. 1-10 How to cite?
Journal: Environmental pollution 
Abstract: As the consumption of electricity increases, air pollutants from power generation increase. In metropolitans such as Hong Kong and other Asian cities, the surge of electricity consumption has been phenomenal over the past decades. This paper presents a historical review about electricity consumption, population, and change in economic structure in Hong Kong. It is hypothesized that the growth of electricity consumption and change in gross domestic product can be modeled by 4-parameter logistic functions. The accuracy of the functions was assessed by Pearson's correlation coefficient, mean absolute percent error, and root mean squared percent error. The paper also applies the life cycle approach to determine carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, sulfur dioxide, and nitrogen oxide emissions for the electricity consumption of Hong Kong. Monte Carlo simulations were applied to determine the confidence intervals of pollutant emissions. The implications of importing more nuclear power are discussed.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10397/33708
ISSN: 0269-7491
EISSN: 1873-6424
DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2012.02.007
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