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Title: Percentile travel time based dynamic traffic assignment model under supply uncertainty
Authors: Li, X 
Lam, WHK 
Keywords: Dynamic traffic assignment
Percentile travel time
Supply uncertainty
Issue Date: 2014
Publisher: Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies Limited
Source: Proceedings of the 19th International Conference of Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies, HKSTS 2014 - Transportation and Infrastructure, 2014, p. 323-330 How to cite?
Abstract: Transportation systems are always suffered with random disturbance, such as adverse weather and traffic incidents, which bring uncertainties in network supply. In this paper, the link travel time is random and depicted by a stochastic dynamic link performance function. The reliability issue is considered by introducing the reliability index, i.e., percentile travel time. Assume that the percentile travel time is the experienced travel time and there are spatial and temporal covariance between links on the same route, the route travel time distribution can be calculated. Based on the reliability based route choice principle, we developed a percentile travel time based dynamic traffic assignment model. As to the proposed model is route based, the method of successive average is used to solve the model. At last, numerical tests are carried on a simple network. The proposed model can predict the arrival time distribution then the traveller can make route choice with given on-time arrival probability.
Description: 19th International Conference of Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies: Transportation and Infrastructure, HKSTS 2014, Hong Kong, 13-15 December 2014
ISBN: 9.79E+12
Appears in Collections:Conference Paper

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