Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10397/26923
Title: Residential mortgage default behaviour in Hong Kong
Authors: Tam, MWY
Hui, E 
Zheng, X
Keywords: Autoregressive Multiple Linear Regression
Default
Hong Kong
Housing market
Residential mortgage
Issue Date: 2010
Publisher: Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group
Source: Housing studies, 2010, v. 25, no. 5, p. 647-669 How to cite?
Journal: Housing studies 
Abstract: Defaults in residential mortgages could be very costly and hazardous to market stability. This paper sets out to inform homebuyers, lenders and policy makers of the determinants of default, and constructs a mortgage default model to assist them in making mortgage applications, advancing loans, or implementing policies to maintain market stability. Residential default behaviour from 1998 to 2007 is studied and a model is constructed by means of Autoregressive Multiple Linear Regression. The results show that the lag term of default rate, gross mortgage rate, current loan-to-value ratio, change in debt-to-income ratio and Consumer Price Index are positively correlated with default rate; however, property price appreciation and change in the Hang Seng Index have a negative relationship with default rate.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10397/26923
ISSN: 0267-3037
EISSN: 1466-1810
DOI: 10.1080/02673037.2010.483584
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