Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10397/23617
Title: Is intention to return a valid proxy for actual repeat visitation?
Authors: McKercher, B 
Tse, TSM 
Keywords: intention to return
loyalty
repeat visitation
satisfaction
Issue Date: 2012
Publisher: SAGE Publications
Source: Journal of travel research, 2012, v. 51, no. 6, p. 671-686 How to cite?
Journal: Journal of travel research 
Abstract: Intention to return is often used as a surrogate measure for actual repeat propensity, especially in loyalty studies. A direct, predictive correlation is assumed to exist between intention and actual repeat visitation rates in accordance with the principles of the theory of planned behavior. However, the existence of such a relationship has rarely if ever been tested empirically in a tourism context, and as such, the validity of this assumption is open to question. This article examines that relationship through an analysis of secondary data provided by a number of National Tourism Organizations. Two tests are conducted, one using longitudinal data from 30 markets that visited either Hong Kong or New Zealand, and a second one using cross-sectional data from 152 markets that visited 16 destinations. The study determined that no statistically significant correlation exists between intention and actual repeat visitation rates, primarily because intention is typically measured as a vague aspiration and not in a probabilistic manner.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10397/23617
ISSN: 0047-2875
EISSN: 1552-6763
DOI: 10.1177/0047287512451140
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